Pre-tourney Rankings
Sun Belt
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
80 Georgia St. 100.0%   13   23 - 9 15 - 5 23 - 9 15 - 5 +5.9      +2.9 80 +2.9 80 63.9 243 +4.7 97 +2.9 1
135 Louisiana 0.0%   17 - 13 13 - 7 17 - 13 13 - 7 +1.9      +0.9 135 +0.9 135 78.4 8 -0.6 173 +0.5 4
151 Georgia Southern 0.0%   19 - 9 14 - 6 19 - 9 14 - 6 +0.9      +0.5 151 +0.5 151 64.2 235 +1.8 142 +2.1 3
176 Louisiana Monroe 0.0%   17 - 12 14 - 6 17 - 12 14 - 6 -0.8      -0.4 176 -0.4 176 59.2 322 +0.3 160 +2.3 2
203 Texas Arlington 0.0%   15 - 15 10 - 10 15 - 15 10 - 10 -2.1      -1.0 203 -1.0 203 78.2 10 -2.1 200 -3.0 5
230 Texas St. 0.0%   11 - 17 7 - 13 11 - 17 7 - 13 -3.7      -1.8 230 -1.8 230 59.9 310 -5.0 248 -6.7 9
234 Arkansas Little Rock 0.0%   12 - 18 8 - 12 12 - 18 8 - 12 -3.9      -1.9 234 -1.9 234 65.9 178 -5.6 261 -5.3 8
289 Troy 0.0%   8 - 19 5 - 15 8 - 19 5 - 15 -6.8      -3.4 289 -3.4 289 66.1 174 -9.3 310 -9.3 11
291 Appalachian St. 0.0%   12 - 17 9 - 11 12 - 17 9 - 11 -6.9      -3.4 291 -3.4 291 68.2 126 -3.9 237 -3.7 7
296 South Alabama 0.0%   10 - 21 9 - 11 10 - 21 9 - 11 -7.5      -3.7 296 -3.7 296 74.8 23 -6.4 280 -3.6 6
298 Arkansas St. 0.0%   10 - 18 6 - 14 10 - 18 6 - 14 -7.8      -3.9 298 -3.9 298 69.1 104 -6.4 281 -7.6 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Georgia St. 1.0 100.0
Louisiana 4.0 100.0
Georgia Southern 2.0 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 2.0 100.0
Texas Arlington 5.0 100.0
Texas St. 9.0 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 8.0 100.0
Troy 11.0 100.0
Appalachian St. 6.0 100.0
South Alabama 6.0 100.0
Arkansas St. 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Georgia St. 15 - 5 100.0
Louisiana 13 - 7 100.0
Georgia Southern 14 - 6 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 14 - 6 100.0
Texas Arlington 10 - 10 100.0
Texas St. 7 - 13 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 8 - 12 100.0
Troy 5 - 15 100.0
Appalachian St. 9 - 11 100.0
South Alabama 9 - 11 100.0
Arkansas St. 6 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Georgia St. 100.0% 100.0
Louisiana
Georgia Southern
Louisiana Monroe
Texas Arlington
Texas St.
Arkansas Little Rock
Troy
Appalachian St.
South Alabama
Arkansas St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Georgia St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   4.3 81.5 14.1 0.0
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Georgia St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 19.9% 5.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 19.9% 0.2 80.1 19.9
Sweet Sixteen 5.9% 0.1 94.1 5.9
Elite Eight 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.7
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0